How the Climate Crisis Might Not Be All That Bad

The climate crisis leaves many with an uncertain future, for others it’s looking far rosier

What comes to mind when you think about the climate crisis? Stifling heatwaves, droughts, increased chances of extreme weather events? Not much to look forward to. But the changes we’re making to the climate won’t affect every area of the world in the same way. Some places will suffer; others will see benefits when the climate crisis takes a stranglehold.

I’m the sort of person who likes to leave the best until last. So let’s start with the bad side of the crisis. Currently, Somalia is facing a climate emergency few people have heard off. An effect of the climate crisis is weather patterns are changing. In Somalia, this has led to the failure of rains. Rains the country’s rural population depends on for their crops and livestock. The drought Somalia is experiencing as a result ‘could threaten the lives and livelihoods of more than two million people by the end of summer.’

Poor rural communities in places like Somalia depend on the land for their survival. When the land fails to produce crops and provide food for livestock, they face ruin. Where they were once financially independent, these environmental migrants lose their livelihood and must turn to aid agencies for their survival.

The farmer’s plight in Somalia will become a familiar story as we progress into the 21st century. The UN estimates there could be as many as 200 million climate migrants by 2050. The loss of arable land will create a crisis of unimaginable proportions.

It’s not all bad though

The future’s not looking great, but in some areas, it’s looking far rosier. Increases in global temperatures are melting the Arctic ice sheet. Scientists believe it’s a matter of if, not when the Arctic will be ice-free in the summer.

This transformation of the Arctic region is opening up shipping routes that were once inaccessible. An Arctic voyage cuts the time it takes to travel between the West and Asia by as much as 20 days, slicing shipping costs. The opening up of the Arctic is a bounty that the six countries that border the Arctic can look to take advantage off.

Melting ice has opened up the Northern Sea Route, slicing the distance taken to travel from Rotterdam to Yokohama.

If we look at the world through an economic lens, there are some exciting opportunities for the ice-free Arctic. However, the Arctic melt is considered a critical alarm bell for worse to come.

The climate is an interconnected system, where a change in one part affects every other part. Human-induced changes to the climate have led to a transformation of an entire ice sheet. That’s a pretty significant change. To see the benefits of this phenomenon doesn’t grasp the bigger picture.

It’s the economy stupid

It’s good to have a positive outlook, but to see the Arctic melt as a good thing takes some going. Our economy is the driving force behind the climate crisis. This economic model emphasises profit above all else. So it’s no surprise people would now start to think of the economic opportunities the climate crisis will create.

Surely the function of an economy should be to provide for and create value to society? How can we even consider the economic benefits of our current path, when we know this path will create misery and disorder in vast areas of the world?

Quite frankly, if people are set to suffer unimaginable hardship as a result of the climate crisis, then an economic ‘benefit’ is irrelevant when contrasted with this suffering. And if there are any benefits in an economic sense, these should be directed towards helping in areas facing hardship?

After all, the areas set to suffer the worst impacts of a changing climate, have contributed the least to create the crisis. The West is responsible for the vast majority of historical emissions. The bitter irony is that the wealth generated as a result of those emissions means Western countries have the financial resources to best deal with what’s to come.

Self-interest

My fear about the changes taking place in our environment is not focused on the changes themselves, but how we deal with those changes. That is what the crisis will be. People will look out for themselves. Governments will consider their self-interest before those who are suffering in other parts of the world.

Self-interest is a poison that places a focus on the few, rather than the whole. If every country prioritises its self-interest, it will become easy to disregard the crippling impacts happening elsewhere. It is, after all, more comfortable to live by the mantra, if we can’t see it, it’s not happening.

The problem with this mentality is that the climate system doesn’t have borders. Changes in one part of the world can have destabilising effects in other parts of the world. The problem requires us to see the world as one unified system. Unfortunately, we don’t see the world this way. As the crisis begins to accelerate countries will become more entrenched, protecting their self-interests.

The climate crisis provides us with an opportunity. Rather than seeing the world from the perspective of everyone for themselves, what we need is for people to see the world from the perspective of one system. Collaboration is vital if we want to solve the issues we’re facing. We will only have collaboration when there is compassion amongst people.

But what do we see? Countries are focusing on how they can benefit from the impending crisis. Does this reflect an attitude of compassion towards those set to suffer the worst impacts? Self-interest is at the heart of this point of view. If each country continues to focus on self-interest, we’re in for a bumpy ride. If the crisis creates compassion and solidarity amongst people, then we might be able to deal with what’s to come.

Read the original article and subscribe for more articles at transformatise.com

Blogger and systems thinker | Place a lens on the social, economic and political causes of the climate crisis | Visit my website and blog at transformatise.com

Get the Medium app

A button that says 'Download on the App Store', and if clicked it will lead you to the iOS App store
A button that says 'Get it on, Google Play', and if clicked it will lead you to the Google Play store